After a tough four-game road trip, the Dallas Mavericks will enjoy a rest home with games against sub-.500 teams.

The first game is against Bucks that despite playing without leading scorer Michael Redd and rookie Yi Jianlian won some games. Their status for this game is not known. But the visitors don't seem to miss them.

Dallas is 20-3 at home this season, and has won four straight against the Bucks but their recent form is a little low.
Thats why I consider that the spread is to big for Dallas. Looking at the stats we can see that visitors didn't lose in recent years at such high differenc.

So I think the bookmakers over estimate Dallas which is a team that mostly want to win not to humiliate their opponents.