This game pits two clubs in deep trouble. Problems have both plagued Valencia and Athletico at the early juncture of the season with the former suffering with cash flow problems, and the unhappiness of David Villa. For Madrid though, this has been their worst start in a season for years and it was just foolish of them to let slip the lead against Almeria in midweek. So at this point of juncture, Athletico have not won a single game from their opening four matches.

Valencia should have the upper hand in this match because after all, their problems are not really on the pitch. They are still producing the goods and the Mastella have always been kind to them. They were 12-4-3 at home in 2008/09 and it always tough for visiting teams. Head to head record really favours the home side, with Valencia winning all four times when the latter visit them. With Sevilla separating themselves from Valencia so soon, back the home team to sustain the pressure as the league table begins to widen between the good teams and the not so good teams.

Pick: Valencia -0.75 @2.20