Two of Shimizu's S-Pulse's away defeats have been by the scores of 3-0 and 3-1 and although I do see signs of improvement from them overall, their defence has once again reverted to their old usual self and their last 3 games have seen them conceding 5 goals. Albirex could have actually won all their home matches not for in those drawn matches, whereby they concede late last minute goals if not they would have romped past their opponents easily.

Head to head records have suggests that this tie do produce their fair share of goals but it is the home team who usually prevails and I think Niigata will ultimately be too strong for their opponents today. For a backup option, go with the 3-1 scoreline in favour of the White Swans as they might just continue scoring.