I'll go against the statistics here. At their last 9 head to head matches only 2 were under 3,5 goals. Dinamo is clear favourite here and will probably win. Still they face some problems as Modrić played for Croatia national team just two days ago and coach Ivanković doesn't want to risk any injury before important Werder match on wednesday so he wont play. Balaban is out due to cards while Šokota and Carlos are recovering from injuries. Medjimurje played 1:1 vs. Hajduk and good game vs. Rijeka before that where they lost in last few minutes. I don't expect Dinamo will push hard after 2:0 or so, and i hope Madjimurje learned a lesson from their 4:1 defeats in last two matches vs. Dinamo. To play an open game in Maksimir probably means you'll get hammered.