In the semi-final I went with Murray and it payed off.Just as I expected the Murray slice was an important part of the match, and brought Murray a lot of points as most of the time he was able to change the rhythm of the match.Now, I don't believe that will be the key here in this match against Novak Djokovic.

Judging by what the two players have showed so far I personally expect a tight match. I would expect one that would be similar to when these to players met last year in Cincinnati, and Murray won 7-6 7-6. That match was also a final of the masters series event.

The way I see it, the two keys of the match will be how the two players manage to serve and how well they will be able to move on the court.Now, if Andy Murray comes out there playing at anywhere around 80% capacity, I see this one as a very simple match.We saw yesterday that despite Del Potro having the momentum in his favor in the 3rd set he still didn't manage to make much of it.

On the other side, Novak Djokovic played in the semis, the world no.2 Roger Federer. After a first set, in which he didn't play to much tennis, we experienced another of Federer's "downs" in a match.The wind also played a deciding factor in the match, as you can clearly see it was frustrating Federer. If the match would have been "wind free" I believe Djokovic would have had a more complicated match. Also, another thing that makes to think Murray is going to win this match, is the fact the in the last tournament, Djokovic has eliminated in the quarters by Andy Roddick 6-3 6-2, and judging by the way that match was played, I can see a similar if not identical type of match here today. Both Andy Roddick and Andy Murray can keep the ball in play for a long time, and have some great gets, which would force Djokovic to play closer and closer to the line, which will bring on the unforced errors.

Also keep in mind that it is common this season for Djokovic to be in some favorable positions in his service games, like 40-0 40-15, and then all of a sudden lose that game. I really can not back a player with such problems, especially if he is facing a player like Andy Murray.

The head to head between the two is 4-2 in Djokovic's favor but that doesn't worry me as I see a great opportunity today for Murray to reduce that difference.

Another thing I find interesting is that Djokovic is the 3rd player and Murray is the 4th player on the ATP ranking, and a win for Murray will bring him closer to that no.3 spot.

As, yesterday, I have to say that I'm not that please with the odds. WillHill offers 1.50 (I don't know how long) which has a bit of value in it, taking in consideration that most of the other bookmakers offer something around 1.40.

So, Andy Murray to win, medium stake for me.