Semi-finals at the BNP Paribas 1000 ATP World Tour.First semi-final will see Andy Murray take on (yet again) Roger Federer.

In the quarters Ferdasco didn't manage to get the job done and eliminate the world no.2 Roger Federer. He didn't even take at least one set, despite being in the position of serving for the second set. But what is interesting is that in the second set Federer managed to make his task a bit difficult, as he had obtained the break early but didn't manage to keep the break, and even more was broken twice in the second set to give Ferdasco the opportunity to serve for the set (a opportunity he did not take). That second set of the match reminded me very much of last year's matches that Federer player in the North American hard courts, just before the US Open. To be more precise, the match he played against Gilles Simon. There he had made a comfortable start taking the first set after which he lost the second and in the third set despite being able to take an early break, he did not manage to keep it, and further more the was broken again. This type of pattern is getting more and more obvious in Federer's game. And as I stated the the Federer vs Verdasco post this is mostly due to the back problems he's been having in the past year.

Despite winning with Ferdasco, I feel that Federer didn't play that great and got him self out of a few break points down situations and some 0-30 situations, just because Ferdasco wasn't making the most of them. Ferdasco has plenty of second serves from Federer but did not fully take advantage of them.

On the other side, Murray hasn't been playing his top tennis so far, during this tournament. The way he served could have been a lot better, and a plus of concentration on some ground stokes would have brought a plus consistency in his game. But the truth is that the matches he played so far did not require him to bring his A game to the court.

Murray head to head record with Federer speaks for itself: 5-2 in Murray's favor.

Judging by all the facts, I'd say that this is a 50-50 match. It can do both ways. It will mostly depend on the way the two players serve. And so far this week, Murray has been the one serving the best. Also, take in consideration the fact the Murray has spent less time on court and is much fresher (not that would make a major difference). Since the US Open Final last year, the two players have met another 3 time in which Murray won 2-1 but with Federer taking the first set in all 3 matches.

So, as i said this is a 50-50 match with Murray having maybe a little bit of edge and my money will be on him. The odds clearly represent value.Pinnacle is offering as high as 2.21. Any odds over 2.10 represent value in my opinion. Medium stake for me as, Federer is still Federer and you can never go against him with high stakes.