Elfsborg is currently on the second position on the table, just three points behind the leader Helsinborg. It is clear they are a good team, but I think they will be defeated in Goteborg. I see two reasons for my pick:

First of all, Goteborg have an excellent home record against Elfsborg in the last few years. Goteborg won the last three home matches, and even more, that victories were very, very high. Just look the results:

18.04.2010. IFK Goteborg - Elfsborg 5:1
30.08.2009. IFK Goteborg - Elfsborg 4:0
26.10.2008. IFK Goteborg - Elfsborg 5:2

The second reason is determined by the absences. Both teams have some players unavailable, but I rate Elfsborg handicap as bigger. First about the home side. Goteborg will miss two players, Stefan Selakovic and Adam Johansson. On other side Elfsborg have five injured players: Johan Sjoberg, Jon Jonsson, Anders Svensson, Stefan Ishizaki and Martin Ericsson. The first two are definitely out, while the next three are probably out. Some of them may play, but it is a question how prepared he will be knowing the condition. So, it is clear Elfsborg midfield is very handicapped here and I see big chance for Goteborg.