Under 9.5 tries.

Warrington are probably the most exciting side in super league this season but this should be a tough test against a very stubborn Castleford side that know how to defend and compete in poor conditions.

Warrington crushed lower league opposition and ran in an amazing 80 points last weekend in the CC. Once again their play behind the rucks was amazing and the speed out wide simply unstoppable. The most interesting part of the result was the trys against column. Not one try lost, 0 pts, their defence this season has been greatly improved. So much so i make them favs for super league.

Cas have been a little up and down after an amazing start to super league in which they won 7 of 8 games. You cannot underestimate what a great job the manager has done there- his buys in the summer have been super value. The Tigers are much stronger in the forwards now and able to compete with the top packs like Wigan, Saints and possibly even tonight opponents Warrington.

Heavy rain all day means this should be tighter and a bit lower scoring. Last season you would have had this game down as 50-30 with loads of points scored at either end. But both sides are so much better in defence and so much stronger at defending their goal line. Im sure there will be scores and a decent game but i dont see it being as many as 10 tries. Possibly 6 or 7 so go with the unders.

under 9.5 tries with betfred at 1.91