NEC is strong favorite against NAC Breda. First of all, they are in good form. Even Breda is also in good form, pay attention to the last three opponents of NEC:

19.01.2011. Alkmaar - Nijmegen 2:2
11.12.2010. Nijmegen - Willem II 3:1���
04.12.2010. Ajax - Nijmegen 1:1

To stay unbeaten against Ajax and AZ Alkmaar as visitor, that's not easy. So, we must respect those results.

However, the main reason for my pick is not determined on the last results. It's about the situation in Breda squad. NAC Breda best goalscorer is Matthew Amoah with 9 goals. His partners in attack are Ali Boussaboun (3 goals) and Leonardo (1 goal). And all three are injured and won't play here. In situation like this I don't see who will score for Breda. But that's not all. Coach Karelse has also big problems in defense line. Both central defenders, Rob Penders (played 18 games) and Gabor Horvath (played 11 games) are sidelined. Out of the team are also defender Snoyl and midfielder Glissen. In situation like this I expect NEC to win.