Over 38.5 match points.

Its semi final time and Bath face what is the toughest test in english rugby- a trip to Welford rd to face the Tigers.

At least they have some decent form going into it and most importantly are scoring a lot of trys. To have any chance of getting a result here you need to put plenty of points on the board because it is almost impossible to keep those Leicester forwards out at the other end.

Bath have been terrific to watch at times this year. Lot of speed in their side and some very powerful wingers. I would say of all the sides ive seen this season ive enjoyed their play most- Bath like to entertain and love to take a gamble.

Leicester are usually solid and hard working. Very strong forwards with terrific passion. We probably wont see the most beautiful rugby today from them but what will see is a side who work very hard and love that physical battle. The set-plays are of a very high standard that once they get into the red zone they are more than happy to simply barge over that try line.

Id expect Tigers to sneak through here but i wouldnt go near a cap start of 6 points given the importance. Best bet for me is plenty of action at either end and a high scoring exciting semi final tie.

Over 38.5 points with bsquare at 1.83