Over 40.5 points.

Arsenal have only one chance of getting through this tie. Defend and defend in numbers and if it takes getting physical- making a few heavy tackles- then so be it. They have lost a number of their very best most skillful players so with Campbell at centre back and Barca on fire it looks like this will be by far the toughest test of the season.

The 1st game had plenty of cards. You wouldnt have thought these 2 teams play dirty and they certainly dont. Both play the ball on the ground but each side has at least a couple of defenders who do tend to get caught out for pace and guile. I think its fair to say neither these sides have anything like the best defenders in the CL and thats possibly the reason the winner will not come from this tie.

Arsenal have to get in about them an unsettle them. Im not suggesting the Gunners should kick anything that moves. But really if you are going to stop Messi it is almost certain there will have to be some cautions.

Being such an important tie also increases the chances of cards and we do tend to see more yellows as the tourney progresses.

Id expect Barca to get through this one. But i dont think it will be easy and it wont surprise me at all if it takes a late winner or maybe they will have to settle for a low scoring draw. Ive a feeling there may even be a red card in this one too as both sides will be fully committed to get through.

bookings over 40.5 points with bluesq at evens.

if there is a red there has to be 2 yellows. no red there must be 5 yellow cards.