The game of the season for Kongsvinger, as victory probably means promotion. I think Kongsvinger is better team and will win today. Even more, I think Kongsvinger will win with two or more goals diffrenece. This is second leg, in first Sarpsborg won 3:2 at home. Sarpsborg miss a great opportunity in that game as they lead 2:0 in the finish, have a player more (Guiomar-Nilsson from Kongsvinger was sent off) and instead of increasing the goal difference, they won only with one goal. So, the first reason why I back Kongsvinger is self confidence. I am sure that confidence is more on Kongsvinger side after all happened in first game.

Second reason is Kongsvinger home form. In last five games played at home, Kongsvinger have five victories. Four out of this five were with more then one goal difference. And as You can see, Kongsvinger won home against Sarpsborg with 3:0 in regular season, just a month ago. Here are the results:

01.11. Kongsvinger-Mjondalen 2:0 (1:0)

17.10. Kongsvinger-Sparta Sarpsborg 3:0 (0:0)

04.10. Kongsvinger-Bryne 1:0 (0:0)

22.09. Kongsvinger-Haugesund 4:1 (2:1)

01.09. Kongsvinger-Alta 4:2 (1:2)

Now, the third reason - Kongsvinger was better team during the championship, only goal difference prevent them for direct promotion, while Sarpsborg wasn't that good. Plus, Sarpsborg has a personal problems as Heieren Hansen is injured and skipper Kjetil Berg is doubtfull. There are chance he will play, but it is a question how prepared he is after injury.That is why I took handicap victory for Kongsvinger, which means I belive Kongsvinger will win with more then one goal difference.